Blackhawks Player Performance Over The Past Twenty Games

Below are multiple even strength stats over the past twenty games for each Chicago Blackhawks player.

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Andrew Desjardins and Tyler Motte have really struggled over the past 20 games. Both have bounced around different bottom-6 lines. When either is on the ice, opponents have been controlling play and outshooting the Blackhawks.

Artemi Panarin on the other hand continues to amaze. screen-shot-2016-12-24-at-14-41-12-pmscreen-shot-2016-12-24-at-14-25-42-pm

Expected goals looks at where the shots are coming from for each team when a player is on the ice. Ryan Hartman has the best numbers on Chicago. This means that when he is on the ice, Chicago is taking better shots than the opponent, thus Chicago is expected to outscore opponents with Hartman on the ice.

The worst has been Andrew Desjardins. Opponents have been expected to greatly outscore Chicago when Desjardins has been on the ice.

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Ryan Hartman and Trevor Van Riemsdyk are the only Blackhawk players with positive scoring chance numbers. Opponents have out-chanced Chicago with every player on the ice not named Hartman or TVR.screen-shot-2016-12-24-at-14-42-48-pmscreen-shot-2016-12-24-at-14-29-13-pm

Panik, Kempny, and Hinostroza are getting off the most shot attempts per hour.screen-shot-2016-12-24-at-14-31-50-pm

Hinostroza leads the team averaging 4.5 scoring chances every hour of ice time. He has created a lot of individual scoring chances over the past twenty games.screen-shot-2016-12-24-at-14-30-01-pm

Utilizing shot quality, Hinostroza has been expected to score over one goal for every hour of ice time he plays.screen-shot-2016-12-24-at-14-38-57-pm

PDO is used to estimate luck. It’s simply on ice shooting percentage plus on ice save percentage. A player could be getting lucky by being on the ice with teammates that are riding a high shooting percentage and a goalie rocking a high save percentage. Inversely, a player could be unlucky by playing with skaters or goalies that are on a “cold streak” and have low percentages. For more info on PDO, check out this article 

In the meantime, know that over 100 is considered lucky, while under 100 is considered unlucky. We see that the team has been pretty lucky recently when Hartman, TVR, or Campbell have been on the ice.

The most unlucky player has been Michal Kempny. The Blackhawks have a 4% shooting% and a 81% save% when Kempny has been on the ice over the past 20 games. Those numbers are unsustainable. If Q is looking only at goals, it would appear that Kempny has played horrible. But utilizing PDO, we can estimate that he has been mostly unlucky.

The opposing goalie isn’t going to always have a 96% save percentage when Kempny is on the ice just like the Blackhawks goalie isn’t going to always have the extremely poor 81% save percentage.

And now it is time for power rankings.

For the forwards, Hartman, Panarin, and Hinostroza have performed the best in their roles over the past 20 games, while Tootoo, Schmaltz, and Desjardins have performed the worst. screen-shot-2016-12-24-at-14-55-56-pm

For Defensemen, TVR and Hjalmarsson have played the best in their roles with the team. Rozsival and Seabrook have performed the worst relative to the other Blackhawk D-men.screen-shot-2016-12-24-at-15-02-48-pm